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THE DOMESTIC
ECONOMY
1. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in real terms
grew by 6.2 percent in 2002, compared to 5.7 percent in 2001. This
growth was mainly attributed to the contribution of the agriculture
sector (47.5 percent); trade, hotels and restaurants - including
tourism (16.6 percent); and manufacturing (8.4 percent). Other sectors
which contributed to this growth were construction (5.0 percent);
financial, insurance, real estate and business services (10.0 percent);
mining and quarrying (2.7 percent); transport and communication
(5.5 percent); public and other services (7.3 percent); and electricity
and water (1.6 percent). Despite the decrease in the rate of growth
of the agriculture sector in 2002, it continued to contribute the
biggest share in the growth of GDP due to its greater share in the
overall economy, while the mining and quarrying sector, with highest
growth rate of 15.0 percent, did not contribute much (2.7 percent)
due to its small share.
2. In 2002 the Gross Domestic Product amounted to
shs. 8,620,073 million at current prices or shs. 1,857,159 million
at constant 1992 prices. With the population of
Tanzania Mainland
of 33.6 million people, according to the Population and Housing
Census conducted in August 2002, per capita income amounted to shs.
256,490 at current prices, or shs. 55,273 at constant 1992 prices.
The real increase of per capita income (at constant 1992 prices)
was shs. 2,101, equivalent to an increase of 4.0 percent compared
to 2.5 percent in 2001.
3. The agriculture sector grew by 5.0 percent in
2002, compared to 5.5 percent in 2001. The decrease in growth was
attributed to the drop in production in the crop - sub sector, whose
growth rate in 2002 was 5.3 percent, compared to 5.9 percent in
2001. This was a result of lack of sufficient rains in some parts
of the country. Furthermore, the growth of the fishing sub-sector
decreased to 6.5 percent in 2002, from 7.0 percent in 2001. The
growth rates of forestry and hunting sub-sector also decreased to
3.0 percent in 2002, from 3.6 percent in 2001.
Despite the decrease of the growth rate of the agriculture
sector, the growth rate of livestock sub-sector increased to 3.5
percent in 2002 from 3.3 percent in 2001. The growth rates of monetary
agriculture decreased to 5.8 percent in 2002, from 6.5 percent in
2001. For the non-monetary agriculture, the growth rate dropped
to 3.9 percent from 4.1 percent in 2001. The agriculture sector
contributed 47.5 percent to total GDP in 2002, compared to 48.0
percent in 2001.
4. The manufacturing sector grew by 8.0 percent
in 2002, compared to 5.0 percent in 2001. This growth was attributed
to the increase in the production of industrial products, such as
cement and textiles. The contribution of manufacturing sector to
total GDP increased to 8.4 percent in 2002, from 8.3 percent in
2001.
5. The growth rate of the mining and quarrying sector
was 15.0 percent in 2002, compared to 13.5 percent in 2001. This
growth was attributed to the increase in the production of gold
and gemstones by 13.2 percent and 17.0 percent, respectively. The
contribution of the mining and quarrying sector to GDP increased
to 2.7 percent in 2002 from 2.5 percent in 2001.
6. The trade sector, which includes retail and wholesale
trade, hotels and restaurants, and tourism grew by 7.0 percent in
2002, compared to 6.7 percent in 2001. The trade sector contributed
16.6 percent to GDP in 2002 compared to 16.5 percent in 2001.
7. The construction sector grew by 11.0 percent
in 2002, compared to 8.7 percent in 2001. The increase was mainly
accounted for by increased construction of non-residential buildings,
including primary school buildings (17.0 percent), road construction
(10.0 percent) and land improvement including estate preparation
(12.0 percent). The contribution of the construction sector to GDP
increased to 5.0 percent in 2002, from 4.8 percent in 2001.
8. Transport and communication sector grew by 6.4
percent in 2002, compared to 6.3 percent in 2001. The growth of
the sector was attributed to the increase of communication activities
by 7.3 percent due to increased number of cellular phone connections,
and also an increase of 5.9 percent in road, air and rail transport.
The contribution of transport and communications sector to GDP increased
to 5.5 percent in 2002, compared to 5.4 percent in 2001.
9. The electricity and water sector grew by 3.1
percent in 2002, compared to 3.0 percent in 2001. The electricity
sub-sector grew by 3.0 percent in 2002 compared to 2.9 percent in
2001, and the growth of the water sub-sector increased to 3.8 percent
in 2002, from 3.5 percent in 2001. The contribution of the electricity
and water sector to GDP was 1.6 percent in 2002 compared to 1.7
percent in 2001.
10. The sector of finance, insurance and real estate
grew by 4.8 percent in 2002, compared to 3.3 percent in 2001. The
increase was attributed to the finance and insurance sub-sector
which grew by 4.0 percent in 2002, compared to 1.8 percent in 2001.
The real estate and business services sub-sectors grew by 5.3 and
5.4 percent, respectively. The contribution of finance, insurance
and real estate sector to GDP in 2002, decreased to 10.0 percent
from 10.2 percent in 2001.
11. In 2002, public administration and other services
grew by 4.1 percent compared to 3.5 percent in 2001. This increase
was attributed to the increased growth in the education and health
sub-sectors by 8.0 and 6.0 percent, respectively. The administration
sub-sector grew by 2.3 percent in 2002, compared to 2.0 percent
in 2001. The contribution of public administration and other service
sector to GDP dropped to 7.3 percent, from 7.5 percent in 2001.
12. Capital formation increased from shs. 381,679
million in 2001 to shs. 454,214 million in 2002, at constant 1992
prices, equivalent to an increase of 19.0 percent, compared to 13.1
percent in 2001. The ratio of capital formation to real GDP increased
from 21.8 percent in 2001 to 24.5 percent in 2002, at constant 1992
prices. Capital formation at current prices increased at a higher
rate of 35.4 percent in 2002, compared to 4.2 percent in 2001. The
increase was attributed to an increase in construction works (roads,
bridges, land improvement) and investments in fixed capital formation.
13. Capital formation from the construction of buildings
increased from shs. 119,145 million in 2001 to shs. 137,647 million
in 2002. The growth in the construction of buildings decreased from
20.3 percent in 2001, to 15.5 percent in 2002. Capital formation
in residential building and rural own account sub-sectors increased
to 10.7 and 12.7 percent in 2002, from 10.2 and - 1.3 percent in
2001, respectively. Capital formation in non-residential buildings
sub-sectors decreased from 74.9 percent in 2001, to 21.8 percent
in 2002.
14. Other construction works (roads, bridges, land
improvements and water) increased from shs. 51,353 million in 2001
to shs. 86,471 million in 2002, at constant 1992 prices, equivalent
to an increase of 68.4 percent compared to 36.1 percent in 2001.
This large increase in capital formation was attributed to construction
of primary school buildings, road construction and finishing the
construction of Rufiji river bridge. Land improvement increased
from shs. 1,467 million in 2001, to shs. 6,049 million in 2002,
equivalent to an increase of 312.3 percent from 44.1 percent in
2001.
15. Importation of capital equipment increased from
shs. 207,058 million in 2001 to shs. 225,357 million in 2002, an
increase of 8.8 percent. The value of transport equipment purchased
increased at a higher rate of 14.5 percent in 2002, compared to
7.0 percent in 2001. The procurement of machines and other equipment
increased by 4.8 percent in 2002, compared to 4.0 percent in 2001.
16. Investments in fixed capital which include buildings,
other construction works, and equipment, increased from shs. 377,556
million in 2001, to shs. 449,475 million in 2002, at constant 1992
prices, equivalent to an increase of 19.0 percent compared to 13.2
percent in 2001. The increase in investments of fixed capital formation
contributed to the growth of other construction works especially
land improvements and water.
17. Inventories, at constant 1992 prices, increased
by 14.9 percent in 2002, compared to 3.0 percent in 2001. The value
of inventories was 4,739 million in 2002, compared to shs. 4,123
million in 2001. Inventories at current prices, increased from shs.
15,661 million in 2001, to shs. 17,854 million in 2002, equivalent
to an increase of 14.0 compared to 9.0 percent in 2001.
18. Capital formation in the private sector increased
from shs. 928,948 million in 2001, to shs. 1,073.938 million in
2002 at current prices, equivalent to an increase of 15.6 percent.
Contribution of the private sector to capital formation was 59.4
percent in 2002, compared to 66.1 percent in 2001. Capital formation
in the public sector increased from shs. 461,738 million in 2001,
to shs. 715,959 million in 2002 at current prices, equivalent to
an increase of 55.1 percent. The large increase was attributed to
construction of non residential buildings, particularly construction
of primary schools buildings.
19. In 2002, inflation decreased by an annual average
of 4.5 percent compared to 5.2 percent in 2001. The reduction in
inflation was greatly attributed to continued implementation of
government policies aimed at controlling its expenditure and increased
food crop production and food availability. The Consumer Price Index
for many goods and services increased. Nonetheless, they did not
affect the average National Consumer Price Index because of their
lower weight in the basket of goods and services consumed.
The prices of food and beverages and cigarettes,
on average continued to decline from 6.1 and 3.7 percent in 2001,
down to 4.1 and 2.7 percent in 2002, respectively. The prices of
electricity, kerosene and water; clothing and footwear; and furniture
and household utensils, on average rose to 14.5, 6.4, and 3.9 percent
in 2002, compared to an average of 2.9, 3.7 and 1.1 percent in 2001,
respectively. This increase resulted from increased production costs
and oil prices.
20. Compared to the year 2001, during 2002 average
prices of other goods and services continued to increase as shown
in the brackets: services and other household requirement (-1.7
to 1.4 percent); health services (0.6 to 3.5 percent); recreation
and entertainment (1.7 to 1.8 percent); transport (1.4 to 2.1 percent);
education (0.6 to 3.7); and other goods and services (1.3 to 4.6
percent). The index of price of house rents continued to decline
from 3.8 percent in 2001 to 1.6 percent in 2002.
21. In 2002, the cost of living index of goods and
services consumed by different urban dweller groups were as follows:
for the minimum wage earners, index of retail prices of goods and
services declined to 7.3 percent in 2002 from 8.6 percent in 2001,
while the cost of living index of goods and services consumed by
middle income earners and high income group continued to rise to
9.9 and 6.7 percent in 2002, from 4.5 and 6.3 percent in 2001, respectively.
22. The cost of living index of goods and services
consumed by Dar es salaam city residents in different income categories
shows that, for the minimum income earners the relative indices
for all commodities consumed continued to decline from 9.4 percent
in 2001, down to 7.3 percent in 2002. This decline was due to the
improvement in the availability and supply of goods consumed by
many people in this category.
For the food items, the index increased to 9.6 percent
in 2002, from 7.6 percent in 2001, resulting from increased costs
in transportation of various food crops from up country. Moreover,
the cost of living index of goods and services consumed by middle
income earners continued to rise from 4.5 percent in 2001, to 9.7
percent in 2002, while the price indices of goods and services consumed
by high-income group in Dar es Salaam declined by an average of
0.5 percent from 11.7 percent in 2001 to 11.2 percent in 2002.
The increase of price index for middle income class
has been caused particularly by increased price of food crops and
transport costs. The Consumer Price Index for high-income group
continued to decline for almost all commodities except for the prices
of electricity, kerosene and water which increased from an average
of 7.5 percent in 2001 to 8.3 percent
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